This is Canada’s Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre’s first election test in a region where the party will need to scale up if it wants to come to power.

The Conservatives won in 2011 when Stephen Harper won a parliamentary majority. And seven years have passed since current Prime Minister Justin Trudeau came to power.

The Liberals tried to turn the odds in their favor by choosing a former Liberal provincial minister as their nominee. And Mr. Poilievre barely showed up in the county during the election campaign.

The Liberals should be able to winsays columnist Philippe Fournier, an analyst on the political scene for news and politico.

But he warns that the results of a by-election don’t always mean the same thing.

” If the Conservatives win, that’s a big story. If the Liberals win by five or six percentage points, that’s fine. »

According to him, if Pierre Poilievre is to aspire to the post of prime minister, the Conservatives must learn to win around Toronto.

If we look at the electoral map, we see that Conservatives have filled in in Manitoba, Saskatchewan and Albertahe said.

You can hope to remove a few trips in the Atlantic, maybe two or three more in Quebec, maybe two or three more in British Columbiahe adds. But that will not bring them ultimate victory. They need to earn more in Ontario. Where can they make profits? In Mississauga and Scarborough.

In the 2021 election, Liberal Sven Spengemann won the Mississauga-Lakeshore race by more than 3,000 votes. He resigned to get a job at the UN.

Thirst for change?

Conservative candidate Ron Chhinzer is a Peel area police officer and an expert on criminal gangs. He did not respond to several interview requests.

Conservative supporter Briant Gallant, 53, says he will vote for him, although he admits he doesn’t know him well.

” I’m sick of the liberals. i want a change »

On the Liberal side, it is Charles Sousa, former Prime Minister Kathleen Wynne’s former Treasury Secretary, who is presenting his candidacy. Mr. Sousa lost his Mississauga South seat in the 2018 provincial election.

He relies on his experience of community service and government to persuade voters to vote for him.

” People want someone who is positive, outgoing, willing to listen and able to move things forward. »

I try to avoid partialityhe adds.

The NDP, which took third place, far behind the winner of the last three elections, has Julia Kole, a former district office employee, as its candidate. She hopes frustrated Liberal Party voters will target her party rather than the Conservatives.

Let’s look at what the NDP was able to achieve. The Liberal government was indecisive, delaying their decisions, we were able to hold them accountableShe says.

” We are small, but powerful. »

A total of 40 candidates will fight, the vast majority of whom are independents.

No fewer than 32 independent candidates are lining up to protest Justin’s decision Trudeau to break his promise to reform the electoral system.