The CH and the Coyotes are in a derby for the lottery for the next NHL draft

The Montreal Canadiens' main task should have been to end their five-game losing streak on Tuesday night against the Arizona Coyotes, but it is clear that the outcome of this game could also have a small impact on the next lottery for the National Hockey League draft.

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The Canadian and the Coyotes each occupied the 27th seed ahead of their scheduled meeting at the Bell Centree and 28e Overall rankings. Of course, each of these teams has more than twenty games to play before the end of the regular season, but remembering the rules surrounding the famous lottery undoubtedly sparks interest in the circumstances.

Regardless of the points accumulated by the end of the campaign, the Canadian or the Coyotes would need an extraordinary stroke of luck to get into the first selection. After drafting the coveted Connor Bedard in 2023, the Chicago Blackhawks are best positioned ahead of the San Jose Sharks.

The chance

How to get first choice (before Tuesday's games):

32e – Chicago Blackhawks – 25.5%

31e – San Jose Sharks – 13.5%

30e – Anaheim Ducks – 11.5%

29e – Columbus Blue Jackets – 9.5%

28e – Arizona coyotes – 8.5%

27e – Montreal Canadiens – 7.5%

To be among the first three teams:

32e – Blackhawks – 100%

31e – Sharks – 59.3%

30e – Ducks – 30.5%

29e – Blue jackets – 19.3%

28e – Coyotes – 17.4%

27e – Canadian – 15.4%

Complete 27e or 28e

Where the lottery rules become more specific for bottom-third teams like the Canadiens and Coyotes is that each team can move back a maximum of three positions.

The team finished 28the The ranked team among the 32 therefore has a 24.5% chance of being drafted fifth and a 44% chance of being drafted in the sixth tier. For comparison: the training ended with 27e Position, i.e. the Canadian's current position, cannot receive the 5th choice and therefore has a higher probability of choosing the sixth (34.1%) or seventh (41.4%).

Reinbacher or Simashev?

The difference between a 27e and 28e The position certainly has an impact on the lottery, but in the end it is the recruiter's intuition that can make all the difference.

In 2023, a little further behind Bedard, the Canadian used the fifth pick to sign defenseman David Reinbacher. The Montreal team finished 28th in the standings, just behind the Coyotes.

Photo credit: “Photo Bruce Bennett / Getty Images via AFP”

After Reinbacher, the Arizona club surprised many by selecting Russian defenseman Dmitry Simashev, while the Philadelphia Flyers named Matvei Michkov at number seven. Only the future will allow us to know which team made the most sensible choice.

Celebrini and the others

For the 2024 draft, which will take place June 28-29 in Las Vegas, Boston University forward Macklin Celebrini appears to be the favorite to be selected first overall.

Photo credit: “Photo Björn Larsson Rosvall / TT News Agency / AFP”

Among other skaters playing in North America, defenseman Artyom Levshunov (Michigan State) and forward Cayden Lindstrom of the Medicine Hat Tigers also rank well in NHL Central Scouting's preliminary rankings. American striker Cole Eiserman is another whose stock is on the rise.

At international level, striker Konsta Helenius is on everyone's lips, as is the great defender Anton Silayev, not to mention his Russian compatriot Ivan Demidov. The lottery is scheduled to take place during the month of May, but the official date has not yet been announced.

Darren Pena

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